?18
[CHAP. I., ?T. III.
(1) Its feasibility-
Theoretically speaking, there is no limit to its feasibility, as it is merely the transference
of a population from one locality or site to another. But, in practice, many circumstances
combine to limit it. Amongst the chief of these are want of space, danger of spread, interfer-
ence with trade, occupations, etc., etc. Looking at what has actually been accomplished, we
find that Jawalapur (10,000), Ahmednagar (37,000), Sholapur (62,000), were all completely
evacuated ; and a population of 100,000 may perhaps be considered a rough limit of the
feasibility of the complete evacuation of a town.
There are, however, but few such towns, and this consideration therefore does not affect the
large bulk of towns and villages in the Presidency, which vary in population from 300 to 30,000.
In these, almost without exception, evacuation may be said to be quite feasible.
The statistics of Plague show that complete evacuation-
(i.) Checks a crescent epidemic.
(ii.) Lessens plague mortality,
(iii.) Shortens the duration of an epidemic.
(iv.) Tends to arrest the disease in toto in villages if carried out at once.
Taking first-
A.-Facts.
(i.) Evacuation checks a crescent epidemic.
Instances of this in large towns are Sholapur, Nasik, Jalgaon, Malegaon, and Godhra ;
whilst amongst villages the number is very large.
The following table shows the progress of the disease before, during, and after evacuation
at Jalgaon, Malegaon, Nasik, Sholapur and Godhra : -
Week ending
JALGAON (POPULATION, 14,672).
MALEGAON (POPULATION, 15,633).
 NASIK (POPULATION, 24,406).
 
SHOLAPUR (POPULATION, 61,564).
GODHRA ¶ (POPULATION,
14,691).


Cases.
Deaths.
Cases.
Deaths.
Cases.
Deaths.
Cases.
Deaths.
Cases.
Deaths.


















1899. (Godhra only.)
1898.
1897.











October 1st
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

„ 8th 



 
 

19
13



„ 15th




3
3
26
8



„ 22nd




11
9
50
45



„ 29th




11
11
116
90



November 5th




12
10
146
117



„ 12th




*3
 
143
118



„ 19th 

 
9
6
† 68
35
221
182

 

„ 26th 

 
7
5
† 31
36
363
297

 

December 3rd 
§ 20
15
4
3
† 33
26
*502
377
*3
2

„ 10th 
* 7
4
21
16
† 26
23
† 501
436
† 10
5

„ 17th 
‡ 32
30
19
13
† 40
30
† 300
246
† 27
22

„ 24th 
17
10
24
17
† 43
34
† 134
149
† 18
10

,, 31st 
10
8
26
18
† 44
34
‡ 53
36
† 28
19

1898.











January 7th 
14
17
* 63
48
‡ 49
45
26
27
† 41
26

„ 14th 
11
7
† 78
62
32
32
9
9
† 45
29

„ 21st 
14
12
†150
41
18
12
7
11
† 59
50

„ 28th 
8
8
†129
27
7
9
5
8
† 107
64

February 4th 
2
1
‡ 27
20
5
3
1
2
‡ 106
79

„ 11th 
1
2
12
13
5
5
9
8
125
108

„ 18th
1
1
10
9
4
3
2
4
137
78

„ 25th 
 
 
11
9
4
4
6
4
 28
22

March 4th 
1
1
2
4
3
1
 
2
 13
11

„ 11th 
 
 
4
3
6
5
2
 
 
3

„ 18th 
 
 
1
 
8
3
 

 


„ 25th
 
 
 
 
3
2
1

2


April 1st
 
 
 
 
1
1
 
 
 
1

* Evacuation begun. † Evacuation rapidly proceeding. ‡ Evacuation complete.
§ The Collector estimates that some 20 deaths from plague at least must have occurred up to this date.
¶ A day's difference in the dates owing to difference of year,